Obama is Winning Texas
Since the Texas primary last week, the media has been referring to Texas as a Clinton win and moved on to Mississippi and Pennsylvania. That was much of what was discussed on Fox News and CNN tonight.
I was trying to understand what the effective "win" number is for Obama. I figured it is the total number of Democratic delegates *minus* the super delegates divided by 2 plus 1. If Obama goes into the convention with one more delegate than Hillary, how can the super delegates override this? No matter... as I was looking at the CNN tally site I saw *TWO* entries for Texas. One for the primaries and one for the caucuses... which are only 41% counted. (They'll be counting until March 24.... very manual.)
So while Clinton beat Obama in the primaries 77 to 71 (or a net 6 delegate gain), projections are showing Obama beating Clinton in the Texas caucus 38 to 29 (a net 9 delegate gain.) This puts Obama winning Texas with a 9 - 6 = 3 delegate lead... a state that was supposed to be a "Clinton firewall."
This was not mentioned on any of the news shows I watched tonight, but some bloggers are noticing. The media have no patience for slow countin' Texans.